Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000241 0.000269 0.000298 0.000333 0.000372 0.000415 0.000465
2025-02-09 0.000186 0.000225 0.000270 0.000328 0.000399 0.000486 0.000600
2025-02-16 0.000157 0.000200 0.000255 0.000330 0.000431 0.000561 0.000747
2025-02-23 0.000135 0.000180 0.000241 0.000327 0.000450 0.000621 0.000881
2025-03-02 0.000120 0.000167 0.000232 0.000329 0.000475 0.000689 0.001033
2025-03-09 0.000108 0.000155 0.000222 0.000328 0.000494 0.000748 0.001182
2025-03-16 0.000094 0.000139 0.000206 0.000314 0.000489 0.000771 0.001273
2025-03-23 0.000087 0.000132 0.000200 0.000315 0.000510 0.000835 0.001442
2025-03-30 0.000083 0.000129 0.000201 0.000327 0.000548 0.000933 0.001688
2025-04-06 0.000075 0.000120 0.000192 0.000320 0.000552 0.000972 0.001827
2025-04-13 0.000067 0.000109 0.000178 0.000304 0.000538 0.000974 0.001897
2025-04-20 0.000063 0.000104 0.000174 0.000305 0.000556 0.001040 0.002106
2025-04-27 0.000061 0.000103 0.000176 0.000318 0.000600 0.001163 0.002463
2025-05-04 0.000056 0.000097 0.000170 0.000315 0.000610 0.001223 0.002697
2025-05-11 0.000053 0.000094 0.000167 0.000318 0.000634 0.001314 0.003022
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000089 0.000162 0.000315 0.000646 0.001380 0.003300
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000086 0.000159 0.000317 0.000667 0.001472 0.003663
2025-06-01 0.000044 0.000082 0.000155 0.000316 0.000683 0.001552 0.004011
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000076 0.000146 0.000302 0.000667 0.001553 0.004141
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000074 0.000144 0.000303 0.000687 0.001648 0.004568
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000073 0.000146 0.000315 0.000733 0.001818 0.005256
2025-06-29 0.000035 0.000070 0.000140 0.000308 0.000732 0.001861 0.005562
2025-07-06 0.000032 0.000064 0.000131 0.000292 0.000707 0.001833 0.005631